In 2024:Lauren Boebert plans to move congressional districts Now
Instead of running in the 3rd Congressional District in Colorado, Boebert will run in the 4th Congressional District next year. Republicans have far more advantages in the 4th District.
S. Rep. Lauren Boebert declared on Wednesday night that she will not be running for reelection in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District next year.
Instead, she plans to run in the 4th Congressional District, which is located on the opposite side of the state and is significantly more Republican-friendly.
In the 3rd District, which includes Pueblo and southeast Colorado as well as the Western Slope of Colorado, Boebert prevailed by a mere 546 votes the previous year.
In 2024:Lauren Boebert plans to move congressional districts Now
Loveland and the rural Eastern Plains of the state are included in the 4th District, which has Douglas County as its focal point.
The a nonpartisan analysis of election results from 2016 to 2020 by staffers for the Colorado legislature found that the 3rd District leans 9 percentage points in favor of Republicans while the 4th District leans 27 points in that direction.
Boebert can represent the 4th District without having to reside there.
In a Facebook video announcing the decision, Boebert stated, “I did not arrive at this decision easily.” “I’m convinced that this is the best way I can fight for Colorado, the conservative movement, and the future of my children after a lot of prayer, difficult conversations, and perspective.”
The shocking revelation coincides with a declining prospect for Boebert’s reelection in the 3rd District.
Her slim triumph in 2022 was observed out, and I hope you accept my sincere apologies,” she said at the Montezuma County Lincoln Day Dinner.
When the “Beetlejuice” incident and the accompanying national headlines occurred, Boebert was attempting to soften her image and center her campaign platform more around her congressional work.
As part of the National Defense Authorization Act, she approved her first bill of the year, the Pueblo Jobs Act, this October. She later voted against House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s removal, labeling the vote as a diversion.
In a recent interview with The Sun, Boebert stated, “I’m always looking for common sense legislation to work with my colleagues on the other side of the aisle.”
In 2024:Lauren Boebert plans to move congressional districts Now
However, the congresswoman’s decision to run in the 4th District was made a number of weeks in the making, is a recognition that Boebert’s attempt to change from a tough, no-holds-barred politician to a serious policymaker is probably not going to be sufficient to win her current seat back.
She has had difficulty raising money for her campaign for reelection in the Third District and has lost the endorsement of well-known Republicans in western Colorado.
“This announcement is a fresh start for me and my family personally after a pretty difficult year,” Boebert stated in her video on Wednesday.
Boebert, a 37-year-old grandmother and divorced mother of four boys, resides in Garfield County, close to the town of Silt, hundreds of miles away from the boundaries of the 4th District.
Nevertheless, members of Congress are not required to reside in the state that their district is in order to avoid having to relocate in order to run in the 4th District.
In her Facebook video, the congresswoman announced that she would be relocating to the 4th District in 2024. She emphasized the rural makeup similarities between the 4th and 3rd districts.
Boebert will have a major advantage over other GOP primary candidates in the district if she uses the $1.4 million she had in her 3rd District campaign account at the end of September to support her 4th District bid.
Boebert is taking a political risk by running in the 4th District.
U.S. Representative Ken Buck of Windsor, who presently represents the 4th District, declared on November 1 that he would not seek reelection in 2024 pointing out the failure of Congress to complete its task and the GOP’s acceptance of election meddling.
A lengthy field of contenders has already emerged to take Buck’s place, including: Jerry Sonnenberg, a former state senator from Sterling.
He is a commissioner for Logan County at the moment.
Deborah Flora, a conservative talk radio host, and state representative Richard Holtorf of Akron in the next few days, Colorado House Minority Leader Mike Lynch of Wellington is anticipated to enter the race as well as former state senator Ted Harvey of Highlands Ranch.
In a written statement, Holtorf chastised Boebert for her action.
He declared, “You can’t win here if you can’t win at home.” She knew she would lose in her own district, and I would prove to her that she would also lose in this one.
Boebert’s choice not to compete in the 3rd District’s reelection is probably good news for national Republicans, who need the seat to maintain their slim House majority.
The GOP probably has a better chance of holding onto control of the district if Boebert is not running.
In the event that Boebert is not the Republican nominee, there is scant evidence to support a Democratic victory in the Third District. Since 2008, the district has not sent a Democrat to the US Congress.
Additionally, the 3rd District was redrawn in a way that favored Republicans in 2021.
The factor that most fully explains the reliably GOP district’s shift into a competitive one is Boebert. There’s a good reason why the Democratic message in the district has been anti-Boebert rather than anti-Republican.
When Boebert’s 546-vote victory is taken out in 2022, U.S. Rep. Scott Tipton defeated incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. John Salazar by 4 percentage points in the closest 3rd District race since Republicans took control of the district in 2010.
That was prior to the district’s boundaries being redrew in 2011 to favor Republicans ahead of the 2012 election cycle.
(In 2020, Boebert defeated Tipton in the Republican primary.)
Aside from Boebert’s narrow victory in 2022, the third District race closest since 2010 was Boebert’s 6-point triumph in 2020 over Democrat Diane Mitsch Bush, a former state representative.
In her video, Boebert declared, “Republicans will hold the 3rd and I’ll proudly represent the 4th and Republicans will be stronger for it.”
She added that the choice was partly due to Democratic spending directed against her in the run-up to the election.
In April, advertisements critical of Boebert were aired by Rocky Mountain Values, a liberal political nonprofit that does not reveal its funding sources.
The organization informed The Sun that it intended to invest $2 million through the following year to prevent the congresswoman from being reelected.
In her statement, Boebert declared, “I will not allow dark-money that is directed at destroying me to steal this seat.”
However, Boebert also experienced intraparty conflicts in the 3rd District.
Several well-known Republicans, such as former Colorado governor Bill Owens and former U.S. senator Hank Brown, are endorsing Grand Junction lawyer Jeff Hurd, who is challenging Boebert in the 3rd District primary.
The editorial board of conservative hurd received the endorsement of the Colorado Springs Gazette this month, too, over Boebert.
Russ Andrews, an investor from Carbondale, and Curtis McCrackin, a business owner in Delta County, are two other GOP candidates who might be able to finance their own campaigns.
Boebert’s withdrawal from the contest is probably going to encourage more Republicans to enter the 3rd District race.
Adam Frisch, a former Aspen City Councilman who lost to Boebert in 2022 by a narrow margin, is a Democratic candidate seeking to represent the 3rd District. In the Democratic primary, Grand Junction Mayor Anna Stout is competing as well.
In 2024:Lauren Boebert plans to move congressional districts Now
In a written statement released on Wednesday night, Frisch, who has raised $8.6 million for his campaign through September 30th, declared his intention to stick with it.
“We have the best district-wide relationships, fundraising, and name ID advantages for any opponent in the nation,” he declared.”
I have devoted my entire campaign to supporting rural Colorado’s way of life and providing practical answers to the issues that the families in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District face. My priorities won’t change.
Democratic Party Chairman Shad Murib of Colorado said that Boebert’s choice was a win for the party. In a written statement, he claimed, “We scared her straight and chased her out of her own district.”
The 3rd and 4th congressional districts in Colorado are very different from one another.
The 3rd District is mostly mountainous, with Pueblo, Grand Junction, and ski and resort towns like Aspen and Durango serving as its main population centers.
Of the 721,715 people living in the 4th District, over half reside there in the conservative Denver suburb of Douglas County. Loveland is located in Larimer County, which has the second-highest population share in the district (107,000).
The vast and sparsely populated Eastern Plains of Colorado, which include counties bordering Nebraska, Kansas, and the Oklahoma panhandle, are home to the remaining portion of the district’s population.
In a written statement released on Wednesday night, Frisch, who has raised $8.6 million for his campaign through September 30th, declared his intention to stick with it.
He declared, “For any challenger in the nation, we have one of the best name ID, fundraising, and district-wide relationship advantages.”
I have devoted my entire campaign to upholding the rural Colorado way of life and providing practical answers to the issues that these families face of the 3rd Congressional District in Colorado. My priorities won’t change.
In 2024:Lauren Boebert plans to move congressional districts Now
Democratic Party Chairman Shad Murib of Colorado said that Boebert’s choice was a win for the party. In a written statement, he claimed, “We scared her straight and chased her out of her own district.”
The 3rd and 4th congressional districts in Colorado are very different from one another.
The 3rd District is mostly mountainous, with Pueblo, Grand Junction, and ski and resort towns like Aspen and Durango serving as its main population centers.
Over half of the 721,715 residents of the 4th District reside in Douglas County, a conservative suburb of Denver. Loveland is located in Larimer County, which has the second-highest population share in the district (107,000).
The remaining district residents are dispersed throughout Colorado’s Eastern Plains, which encompass counties bordering Nebraska, Kansas, and the Oklahoma panhandle, are vast and sparsely populated.
In 2024:Lauren Boebert plans to move congressional districts Now
In a written statement released on Wednesday night, Frisch, who has raised $8.6 million for his campaign through September 30th, declared his intention to stick with it.
He declared, “For any challenger in the nation, we have one of the best name ID, fundraising, and district-wide relationship advantages.”
“I have devoted my entire campaign to supporting rural Colorado’s way of life and providing practical answers to the issues that the families in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District face. My priorities won’t change.
Democratic Party Chairman Shad Murib of Colorado said that Boebert’s choice was a win for the party. “We gave her a severe scare and drove her away from her a written statement, he stated, “my own district.”
The 3rd and 4th congressional districts in Colorado are very different from one another.
The 3rd District is mostly mountainous, with Pueblo, Grand Junction, and ski and resort towns like Aspen and Durango serving as its main population centers.
Over half of the 721,715 residents of the 4th District reside in Douglas County, a conservative suburb of Denver. Loveland is located in Larimer County, which has the second-highest population share in the district (107,000).
In 2024:Lauren Boebert plans to move congressional districts Now
The vast and sparsely populated Eastern Plains of Colorado, which include counties bordering Nebraska, Kansas, and the Oklahoma panhandle, are home to the remaining portion of the district’s population.
Since 1973, the 4th District has only had one Democratic representative: former U.S. Representative Betsy Markey elected in 2008, but Republican Cory Gardner—who later became a U.S. senator—beat her in her attempt for reelection in 2010.
June 25 is the date of Colorado’s congressional primary elections.
This is an evolving narrative that will be revised.
Sandra Fish, a Colorado Sun correspondent, contributed to this article.
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